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Geostatistical Inversion for Subsurface Characterization Using Stein Variational Gradient Descent with Autoencoder Neural Network: An Application to Geologic Carbon Sequestration
  • Mingliang Liu,
  • Dario Grana,
  • Tapan Mukerji
Mingliang Liu
Stanford University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Dario Grana
University of Wyoming
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Tapan Mukerji
Stanford University
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Abstract

Geophysical subsurface characterization plays a key role in the success of geologic carbon sequestration (GCS). While deterministic inversion methods are commonly used due to their computational efficiency, they often fail to adequately quantify the model uncertainty, which is essential for informed decision-making and risk mitigation in GCS projects. In this study, we propose the SVGD-AE method, a novel geostatistical inversion approach that integrates geophysical data with prior geological knowledge to estimate subsurface properties. SVGD-AE combines Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) for sampling high-dimensional distributions with an autoencoder (AE) neural network for re-parameterizing reservoir models, aiming to accurately preserve geostatistical characteristics of reservoir models derived from geological priors. Through two synthetic examples, we demonstrate that the SVGD-AE method outperforms traditional probabilistic methods, particularly in inverse problems with complex posterior distributions. Then, we apply SVGD-AE to the Illinois Basin - Decatur Project (IBDP), a large-scale CO2 storage initiative in Decatur, Illinois, USA. The resulting petrophysical models with quantified uncertainty enhance our understanding of subsurface properties and have broad implications for the feasibility, decision making, and long-term safety of CO2 storage at the IBDP.
18 Mar 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
21 Mar 2024Published in ESS Open Archive