Rapid expansion of fixed nitrogen deficit in the eastern Pacific Ocean
revealed by 50 year time series
Abstract
Climate change is expected to increase the strength of ocean Oxygen
Deficient Zones (ODZs), but we lack detailed understanding of the
temporal or spatial variability of these ODZs. A fifty-year time series
in the Eastern Tropical North Pacific (ETNP) ODZ revealed that it
strengthened by 30% from 1994 to 2019. We subdivided the ODZ into a
core and a deep layer based on potential density and revealed that
different processes control the magnitude of fixed nitrogen loss in
these two regions. We postulate that the depth of the upper ETNP ODZ
water mass, the 13 ºC water, influences the organic carbon supply to the
core ODZ and therefore its strength. We correlated the fixed nitrogen
loss in the core ODZ with a nearby sedimentary nitrogen isotope record
and found that this recent, rapid increase has only occurred a few times
over the last 1200 years. Using this correlation, we derived the first
confidence interval for the strength of the core ETNP ODZ, 9.2-12.5 µmol
kg-1 of fixed nitrogen loss. While the current increase is comparable to
only two previous events, it is still within this confidence interval.
Nevertheless, climate driven intensification could lead to unprecedented
changes within the next decade. The deep ODZ also strengthened from
2016-2019 by approximately 30%, even more rapidly than the core ODZ.
This dramatic increase was not observed over the rest of the 50-year
time series.