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The evolution of a large glacier surge of Vavilov Ice Cap, Severnaya Zemlya, since 2013
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  • Whyjay Zheng,
  • Matthew Pritchard,
  • MICHAEL WILLIS,
  • William Durkin,
  • Leigh Stearns
Whyjay Zheng
Cornell University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Matthew Pritchard
Cornell University
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MICHAEL WILLIS
University of Colorado Boulder
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William Durkin
Cornell University
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Leigh Stearns
University of Kansas
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Abstract

The Vavilov Ice Cap destabilized in 2013. It reached its highest annual ice loss rate of 4.48 km3/yr between 2015 and 2016, a rate that is more than half of the entire combined ice loss from all the other ice caps in the Russian Arctic. To understand the mechanics of how the surge took place and what will happen in the future, we investigate surface elevation and glacier velocities using the Cryosphere And Remote Sensing Toolkit (CARST), an open-access python toolbox designed for processing temporal changes of high-resolution remote sensing data. We use optical satellite images from WorldView, Landsat, and Sentinel-2 and their derived elevation and velocity products to track the history of the surge between 2010 and the present. We propose that the surge initiated when the ice front overrode weak marine sediments in 2013, leading to a reduction of frontal friction. Velocity time series show that the glacier reached a maximum speed of 25 m/day (9 km/yr) in late 2015, when a piedmont-like ice lobe stretched more than 10 km into the Kara Sea. However, in spring 2017 the glacier slowed down to 7-9 m/day with the development of a new channel inside the piedmont lobe, with new shear margins visible from optical imagery. The channelized flow pushes through the grounded portion of the piedmont glacier, and suggests a further reorganization of resistive forces. The unprecedented evolution of the surge at Vavilov Ice Cap shows a strong connection to the status of the terminus, which might pose general concern for the stability of marine- or lake-terminating glaciers regardless of their locations on Earth.