Parameter Median 95% credible interval R-hat
Fixed effects
Intercept 0.288 0.223, 0.353 1.005
Age 65 and older 0.293 0.275, 0.312 1.000
Male 0.194 0.177, 0.211 1.000
Having any risk factor 0.351 0.332, 0.370 1.000
Random effects
Hokkaido −0.051 −0.126, 0.024 1.004
Aomori −0.283 −0.482, −0.078 1.001
Iwate −0.431 −0.593, −0.268 1.001
Miyagi 0.010 −0.092, 0.110 1.002
Akita −0.100 −0.439, 0.229 1.000
Yamagata −0.166 −0.358, 0.023 1.000
Fukushima 0.027 −0.074, 0.131 1.002
Ibaraki −0.036 −0.139, 0.066 1.002
Tochigi 0.091 −0.018, 0.206 1.001
Gunma −0.132 −0.225, −0.039 1.003
Saitama 0.220 0.149, 0.291 1.004
Chiba −0.053 −0.126, 0.017 1.004
Tokyo 0.007 −0.058, 0.074 1.005
Kanagawa 0.340 0.269, 0.410 1.004
Niigata −0.201 −0.319, −0.084 1.002
Toyama 0.247 0.106, 0.385 1.001
Ishikawa 0.191 0.100, 0.283 1.002
Fukui −0.179 −0.317, −0.043 1.001
Yamanashi 0.044 −0.181, 0.259 1.000
Nagano 0.067 −0.023, 0.153 1.003
Gifu −0.030 −0.119, 0.057 1.003
Shizuoka 0.012 −0.078, 0.101 1.003
Aichi 0.190 0.118, 0.266 1.004
Mie 0.056 −0.044, 0.154 1.002
Shiga −0.076 −0.168, 0.015 1.002
Kyoto 0.222 0.140, 0.303 1.003
Osaka 0.263 0.195, 0.330 1.005
Hyogo 0.116 0.043, 0.187 1.004
Nara −0.054 −0.139, 0.032 1.003
Wakayama −0.393 −0.553, −0.237 1.001
Tottori −0.116 −0.317, 0.085 1.001
Shimane −0.056 −0.303, 0.194 1.000
Okayama −0.121 −0.233, −0.008 1.002
Hiroshima −0.136 −0.217, −0.053 1.003
Yamaguchi −0.078 −0.197, 0.037 1.001
Tokushima 0.001 −0.195, 0.194 1.000
Kagawa 0.214 0.100, 0.335 1.001
Ehime −0.431 −0.661, −0.210 1.001
Kochi 0.144 0.070, 0.221 1.004
Fukuoka 0.257 −0.056, 0.571 1.000
Saga 0.126 0.025, 0.227 1.002
Nagasaki 0.099 0.004, 0.191 1.003
Kumamoto 0.073 −0.087, 0.233 1.001
Oita 0.246 0.117, 0.378 1.001
Miyazaki −0.249 −0.412, −0.095 1.001
Kagoshima 0.140 0.063, 0.217 1.003
Okinawa 0.202 0.154, 0.257 1.002