Parameter Median 95% credible interval R-hat
Fixed effects
Intercept 0.387 0.193, 0.575 1.005
Age 65 and older 0.293 0.275, 0.312 1.000
Male 0.194 0.177, 0.211 1.000
Having any risk factor 0.351 0.332, 0.470 1.000
Number of beds secured for COVID-19 patients −0.004 −0.010, 0.003 1.000
Random effects
Hokkaido −0.016 −0.115, 0.081 1.000
Aomori −0.312 −0.517, −0.105 1.000
Iwate −0.413 −0.579, −0.249 1.000
Miyagi −0.030 −0.157, 0.089 1.000
Akita −0.099 −0.434, 0.230 1.000
Yamagata −0.182 −0.381, 0.003 1.000
Fukushima 0.024 −0.079, 0.125 1.000
Ibaraki −0.052 −0.162, 0.051 1.000
Tochigi 0.073 −0.042, 0.189 1.000
Gunma −0.153 −0.251, −0.052 1.001
Saitama 0.195 0.112, 0.278 1.001
Chiba −0.070 −0.146, 0.008 1.001
Tokyo 0.045 −0.053, 0.139 1.000
Kanagawa 0.306 0.213, 0.402 1.001
Niigata −0.205 −0.323, −0.090 1.000
Toyama 0.318 0.129, 0.513 1.000
Ishikawa 0.179 0.088, 0.273 1.001
Fukui −0.155 −0.295, −0.006 1.000
Yamanashi 0.066 −0.153, 0.295 1.000
Nagano 0.049 −0.046, 0.141 1.000
Gifu 0.001 −0.103, 0.107 1.000
Shizuoka −0.036 −0.159, 0.089 1.000
Aichi 0.152 0.054, 0.254 1.001
Mie 0.041 −0.062, 0.143 1.000
Shiga −0.081 −0.174, 0.007 1.000
Kyoto 0.189 0.092, 0.291 1.001
Osaka 0.250 0.177, 0.321 1.001
Hyogo 0.075 −0.028, 0.177 1.001
Nara −0.048 −0.133, 0.038 1.001
Wakayama −0.338 −0.529, −0.154 1.000
Tottori −0.033 −0.295, 0.218 1.000
Shimane −0.031 −0.286, 0.215 1.000
Okayama −0.137 −0.252, −0.021 1.001
Hiroshima −0.169 −0.270, −0.068 1.001
Yamaguchi −0.048 −0.179, 0.081 1.000
Tokushima −0.011 −0.213, 0.179 1.000
Kagawa 0.193 0.069, 0.317 1.000
Ehime −0.423 −0.653, −0.201 1.000
Kochi 0.102 −0.001, 0.211 1.001
Fukuoka 0.276 −0.034, 0.601 1.000
Saga 0.147 0.041, 0.255 1.000
Nagasaki 0.109 0.015, 0.203 1.000
Kumamoto 0.092 −0.069, 0.260 1.000
Oita 0.243 0.114, 0.374 1.000
Miyazaki −0.257 −0.421, −0.101 1.000
Kagoshima 0.172 0.072, 0.265 1.000
Okinawa 0.200 0.153, 0.256 1.000