Key Words:
CO2 Concentrations, Hourly Temperature, Downward total solar irradiance, Climate Change, Arctic Region, Alaska
Acronyms: AMAP, Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program, ARCH, Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity; ARMA, autoregressive–moving-average; ARMAX, autoregressive–moving-average with exogenous inputs; ECMWF, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. MFP, multivariable fractional polynomial; RMSE, root-mean-squared-error.