Variable The Gambia The Gambia Mozambique Mozambique Kenya Kenya Pakistan Pakistan
Outcome Modeled 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables Demographic Variables
Wealth 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Maternal education 2 7 2 2 2 2 2
Case/Control 2 4 3 9 8
Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables Temperature Variables
Two-week temp 5 2 8 8 6 7 4 3
Two-week temp, lag1 3 3 9 3 8 9 5 4
Two-week temp, lag2 4 4 4 7 10 6 6
Four-week temp 9 8 7
Four-week temp, lag1 6 10 10 9 10 10
Four-week temp, lag2 7 5 7 5 10 6 7 9
Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables Precipitation Variables
Days since rainfall 8 8 4 3 5
Two-week precip 5
Two-week precip, lag1 9 6 3 6
Two-week precip, lag2 10 5 5 4
Four-week precipitation 10
Four-week precip, lag1 6 7
Four-week precip, lag2 9 8
Eight-week precip 3
Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters Model Parameters
Number of trees 250 250 500 250 500 500 250 250
Number of variables tried 15 15 14 11 14 12 15 17
OOB error (%) 4.55 11.86 8.68 10.21 16.93 19.18 7.29 17.82
Validation error (%) 5.00 13.50 9.00 9.95 18.00 21.10 6.80 18.30