Yijian Zhou

and 7 more

The 2021 Mw 6.1 Yangbi earthquake in southwest China is preceded by three major foreshocks: 05/18 Mw 4.3, 05/19 Mw 4.6, and 05/21 Mw 5.2. It provides a valuable chance to revisit two end-member models describing earthquake interaction: cascade-up and pre-slip model. We first determine the associated fault structure with relocated aftershocks and focal mechanisms obtained from multi-point-source inversion. We find that the mainshock and two smaller foreshocks occur on an unmapped near-vertical fault, and the largest foreshock occurs on a mapped stepover fault that dips to NE. Secondly, for each major foreshock, we estimate and delineate their rupture area based on aftershocks and spectral ratio analysis. Based on the rupture model, we finally calculate the evolution of Coulomb stress, with which to interpret the causality of each major event. Results show that the Yangbi sequence can be explained by the cascade triggering mechanism, while we also find evidence for aseismic slip that contributes to the triggering process: the first foreshock is preceded by a short-term localized cluster, and the aftershock zone of the second foreshock extents through time. The nucleation of mainshock is probably contributed by multiple major foreshocks through both seismic and aseismic processes. This detailed seismological characterization of Yangbi sequence lend supports for a deeper understanding on the foreshock mechanism: (1) the controlling mechanisms are not limited to cascade-up & pre-slip, multiple mechanisms can operate together; and (2) aseismic slip does not always provide more predictability on the mainshock.

Yijian Zhou

and 9 more

The Xiaojiang Fault (XJF) Zone locates in the southeastern of Tibetan Plateau and defines the boundary between the South China and Sichuan-Yunnan blocks. Historical large earthquakes were hosted on the XJF, though its seismic hazard in the near future is under debate. In this study, we utilize portable broad-band seismic network to unravel the microseismic activities along XJF, and to further investigate the fault structures and their properties. Adopting PALM, a newly developed earthquake detection algorithm, we obtained ~13,000 relocated events. The micro-seismicity reveals widespread off-fault structures showing conjugate geometry, while the major faults present low seismicity. The fault branches conjugate to the main-fault present intensive microseismicity, which hosts repeating events and presents high b-value. Regional GPS stations reflect slips are mostly concentrated along the XJF, while the slip rate on off-fault branches correlates with seismic activities on these structures. Combining with other recent seismological and magnetotellurics evidences, we suggest a low strength on these off-fault structures, which may partially release tectonic stress loading and serve as a barrier for future big earthquakes. On the XJF, the microseismic events are clustered on the fault junctions with low b-value. A special set of clusters between 25°N to 25.5°N show an along-strike variation of depth from 10 to 25-km, imaging the boundary between creeping and locked fault portions. We revisit the seismic hazard problem of XJF, and conclude that XJF is at the late stage of inter-seismic period.