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Joint CO2 Mole Fraction and Flux Analysis Confirms Missing Processes in CASA Terrestrial Carbon Uptake over North America
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  • Sha Feng,
  • Thomas Lauvaux,
  • Christopher A. Williams,
  • Kenneth J. Davis,
  • Yu Zhou,
  • Ian Baker,
  • Zachary Robert Barkley,
  • Daniel Wesloh
Sha Feng
The Pennsylvania State University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Thomas Lauvaux
Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement
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Christopher A. Williams
Clark University
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Kenneth J. Davis
Pennsylvania State University
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Yu Zhou
Clark University
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Ian Baker
Colorado State University
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Zachary Robert Barkley
The Pennsylvania State University
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Daniel Wesloh
Pennsylvania State University
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Abstract

Terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) play a key role in detection and attribution of carbon cycle processes at local to global scales and in projections of the coupled carbon-climate system. TBM evaluation commonly involves direct comparison to eddy-covariance flux measurements. This study uses atmospheric CO2 mole fraction ([CO2]) measured in situ from aircraft and tower, in addition to flux-measurements from summer 2016 to evaluate the CASA TBM. WRF-Chem is used to simulate [CO2] using biogenic CO2 fluxes from a CASA parameter-based ensemble and CarbonTracker version 2017 (CT2017) in addition to transport and CO2 boundary condition ensembles. The resulting “super ensemble” of modeled [CO2] demonstrates that the biosphere introduces the majority of uncertainty to the simulations. Both aircraft and tower [CO2] data show that the CASA ensemble net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of CO2 is biased high (NEE too positive) and identify the maximum light use efficiency Emax a key parameter that drives the spread of the CASA ensemble. These findings are verified with flux-measurements. The direct comparison of the CASA flux ensemble with flux-measurements indicates that modeled [CO2] biases are mainly due to missing sink processes in CASA. Separating the daytime and nighttime flux, we discover that the underestimated net uptake results from missing sink processes that result in overestimation of respiration. NEE biases are smaller in the CT2017 posterior biogenic fluxes, which assimilates observed [CO2]. Flux tower analyses, however, reveal unrealistic overestimation of nighttime respiration in CT2017.